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Statewide Analysis

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V. We know:
Adjusting for socioeconomic factors sometimes tells a very different story from raw performance measures.

VALUE-ADDED" MODELING

All kids are not equally challenging to educate.

If you take the raw test scores by district and sort them high to low, you would find that you have also sorted almost perfectly by the median family income of each district. This pattern is by no means peculiar to RI, or even the United States. Without the strong intervention of effective schooling, students tend to achieve according to their socioeconomic backgrounds. It does not have to be this way. Schools can make a significant difference in a challenged child’s life.

Indeed, the current national push to improve public schools is fueled at least partly by a passion to help challenged children beat the determinism or predictability seemingly built into their lives by certain factors, the strongest of which is poverty. Schools need to be especially helpful in equipping these children with the skills and knowledge to create a bright future for themselves.

Some schools respond more effectively to their unique population than others. Value-added statistical modeling helps us see which schools they are. By the same token, the modeling also reveals schools whose test scores seem impressive, but who, when compared with similar students, could be doing much better.

RI’s statistical model uses five student characteristics.

Value-added statistical modeling compares the performance of a school’s student body with the performance of similar students statewide using – adjusting for – the following five research-endorsed factors:

  • Poverty (which is by far the strongest predictor of student achievement, with the exception of prior achievement. Without a Universal Student Identifier system in place that would enable RIDE to know students’ grade point average, RI is not able to factor prior achievement into its research.)

  • Non-English speaking background

  • Educational background of the parents

  • Having special learning needs

  • Having a minority racial-group identity.

While individuals with one or more of these characteristics can and do perform well on state assessments, the majority tend to perform less well than children who do not have these characteristics. The many reasons for these historic patterns of achievement include such things as school expectations, the availability of flexible grouping and different types of instruction, inadequate funding and support to the schools these children attend, and the quality of social services offered to students.

An explanation of the value-added charts is available here: How to read the Value-Added Charts and how schools are assigned to cohorts in the value-added charts.

Take a moment to learn to read the charts themselves.

The charts are sorted into levels -- high, middle and elementary. The state-level charts use four subtests, two for math and two for English, as indicators of student academic achievement as compared with similar students statewide. Those whose actual scores are consistently above the model are in the top band; those consistently below are in the bottom; all other schools are spread along a continuum in between. RI high schools and middle schools can each be represented on single pages. The elementary chart occupies four pages.

For more information about the modeling itself, as well as the rationale for doing so, see the Users Guide or the 2001 State Analysis – which explains each of Information Works’ data “lenses” or techniques. For a more complete understanding of the modeling and specific choices regarding RI’s model, see the Technical Brief on the Statistical Model.

Please see the User’s Guide or the State Section for further explanations, specifics or rationales regarding the following subjects:

  • The value of looking at the lists from prior years for a sense of how a school has fared over time – see: “School Performance: A Value-added Perspective.” on the homepage

  • The effects of the introduction of ‘no-score’ results starting in IW! 2001

  • The use of only one year of performance data on these charts

  • The reason Information Works! does not report data cells smaller than 10 students

Value-added gives an important second data point.

If the performance designations are a first facet, a portal into a school’s vast store of data, the value-added lens offers an important second point because it shows, sometimes, a different view of the same test score information as the performance categories. Schools with the most challenged children would argue that the value-added lens is, in some ways, a more realistic benchmark against which to measure actual performance, adjusting, as it does, for poverty, among other things.

For example, Asa Messer School, in Providence, is considered ‘low-performing, though “improving.” On the value-added charts, that school has performed consistently above statistical prediction, placing it in the top band, for the third year in a row. Nearly 100% of its children are eligible for subsidized lunch – a poverty indicator – showing that this school has more success with socioeconomically challenged children than its counterparts statewide. While deserving the state’s support for low-performing schools, it also has lessons to teach about improving the outcomes for low-income children.

 

Like the principals at the four schools who improved in every subtest, Denise Missry, principal at Asa Messer School, credits their early and diligent use of data for a measure of their success. “We were a SALT pilot school in 1997, so we started early identifying our weakness with that first SALT visit self-study. Since then, every year we focus on one kind of professional development. We were weak in math problem solving, so we got a new series, have a monthly math problem, got a consultant and so on. Our scores have improved since. Another year, we did the same thing with writing skills.” Asa Messer also has an unusually tight home-school connection in a state where the data indicates most parents are not well-engaged in their children’s education. (See page 57 for more information about parents.) Missry says, “if the children don’t have their homework done, my teachers call home to find out why not.”

The Textron-Chamber of Commerce Academy, in Providence, has an even more dramatic story to tell. Because it is a ‘low-performing’ and ‘not-improving’ school, one might assume it is a failure on all fronts. But the value-added list demonstrates what raw achievement scores never would – that the school is performing heroics by getting even the seemingly poor performance it does get from the students. The challenges of the students in that building – most would not be in school at all if it weren’t for ‘Chambers’ – weight the statistics in such a way that we get a different view of the school’s struggles and success.

 

Textron-Chamber of Commerce Academy was the first RI school to have received a charter directly from the state, which allows it to be more experimental about educating its unique population according to its own design. So, for example, to gain entrance to the school, students must be willing to participate in a summer school where the teachers can assess the students’ math and reading levels while working to ramp up those skills before the school year even begins. To support the largely poor, urban students, the school found outside funds for a wide variety of after-school programs that often include dinner, homework support, college mentors and tutors, counseling and more. On top of regular guidance services, two “deans” – one for boys and one for girls – support the students’ lives and, when need be, their families in order to support the students’ focus on and in some cases presence at school. Textron students “Drop Everything And Read” (DEAR) for fifteen minutes every day to elevate most students’ very low literacy rates. The school enforces strict attendance, lateness, dress code and homework-completion policies, providing structure for a population who view this school as their last and only chance to get a high school diploma. ‘Chambers’ is currently tackling curriculum reform and improving teaching strategies to get more students to full proficiency.

At the opposite end of the spectrum, we find a school in suburban RI that is at the bottom of the value-added lists, meaning its students are consistently under-performing compared with their relatively affluent counterparts statewide. This same school is both ‘high performing’ and ‘improving.’ As a small state, RI has a relatively small sample of students at both the affluent and poverty ends of the socioeconomic spectrum, so the statistics are sensitive to the performance of even a rather small group. This suburban school is to be commended for its improvement, certainly, but its community has strong reasons to investigate the reasons for their children’s low achievement as compared with statewide counterparts.

 

We recommend:

Schools need to attend to the gaps that have grown over the years between groups of students with different characteristics.

In all too many cases, schools focus on the high achievers to boost their performance levels instead of investing in those students who are, for whatever reason weak academically or those groups of students who have been underserved or not well understood in the past. Indeed, the new NCLB requires that within 12 years all students, including those with different characteristics, demonstrate 100% proficiency, a goal which researchers believe is virtually impossible to achieve statistically, but whose spirit is still ethically correct.

If all students are under-performing at the same low levels, then school-wide, systemic improvement is needed. Too often, for example, secondary schools presume grade-level reading skills and offer little or no support to those students whose work in all subjects is impeded by an inability to read well.
 

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For further information call the Rhode Island Department of Education at 401-222-4600 x2231.
Information Works!  is produced in collaboration with the National Center on Public Education & Social Policy,  Dr. Robert D. Felner, Director.